Boil frogs in warm water? ! The Israeli Prime Minister’s trip to Europe seems to be a failure, but there are hidden mysteries.
CCTV News:On the 7th, Iranian state television reported that Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif had written to relevant parties in the Iranian nuclear deal except the United States, condemning the withdrawal of the United States from the agreement, and stressed that if the Iranian nuclear deal is to remain effective, other parties need to ensure that Iran can be compensated unconditionally if the United States resumes sanctions against Iran. In the letter, Zarif also called on all parties concerned in the Iranian nuclear deal except the United States to take actions to deal with the "expanding economic bullying" of the United States, saying that the actions of the United States not only pose a threat to the Iranian nuclear deal, but also pose a threat to multilateralism.
Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif (data map)
The Prime Minister called the Iranian nuclear deal "ineffective."
On the 7th, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in London that the Iranian nuclear deal "has failed" and that some companies that have done business with Iran have withdrawn from Iran.
Relations between Israel and Iran have been tense for years. Israel has been strongly opposed to the JCPOA(Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action) reached in 2015. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu began his trip to Europe on the 4th. While declaring that Iran would never be allowed to possess a nuclear weapon, he "urged" Germany, France and Britain to change their existing positions and give up saving the Iranian nuclear deal. However, the heads of the three European countries expressed the same position and said that they would continue to safeguard the Iranian nuclear deal.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (data map)
Observation: Israeli Prime Minister failed to persuade Europe to give up the Iranian nuclear deal.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu began his trip to Europe on the 4th, "urging" Germany, France and Britain to change their existing positions and give up the Iranian nuclear deal. During the talks, the leaders of Germany, France and Britain all stressed that they would not give up the Iranian nuclear deal. Analysts pointed out that the withdrawal of the United States from the Iranian nuclear deal made the Israeli government very satisfied, but it was strongly resisted by Europe. As the Iranian nuclear issue concerns the major interests of Europe, Germany, France and Britain will not easily compromise with Israel and the United States.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel said on the 4th that Germany and Israel are in agreement on the goal of ensuring that Iran cannot acquire nuclear weapons, but there are differences on the ways to achieve this goal.
French President Macron said on the 5th that the Iranian nuclear deal should be kept and improved. He said that on the Iranian nuclear issue, France has always given priority to regional security.
British Prime Minister Theresa May reiterated to Netanyahu that Britain will "firmly abide by" the Iranian nuclear deal, which is the best way to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons. But she also stressed that Britain supports Israel’s right to self-defense.
Analysts pointed out that Netanyahu’s visit has two purposes: one is to try to persuade Germany, France and Britain to give up their support for the Iranian nuclear deal, and the other is to win over Europe to prevent Iran from expanding its power in the Middle East and from establishing a military presence in Syria that threatens Israel’s security.
According to the analysis of Ha ‘aretz, Netanyahu does not expect European leaders to publicly announce their withdrawal from the Iranian nuclear deal, but he hopes that by constantly stressing that the Iranian nuclear deal has "failed", European leaders will accept the reality that since the United States has withdrawn from the Iranian nuclear deal, the environment facing the agreement has changed fundamentally.
After Netanyahu’s visit to Britain, a senior Israeli official said that the leaders of Germany, France and Britain agreed to ask the International Atomic Energy Agency to review the files of Iran’s nuclear program obtained by Israel, and also agreed that all Iranian troops must withdraw from Syria. In Israel’s view, this shows that its diplomatic efforts have also achieved some results.
Iranian army (data map)
In addition, analysts pointed out that Europe’s current position of retaining the Iranian nuclear deal is very clear, because it concerns Europe’s major security and economic interests. However, the constant pressure from the United States and Israel has also made it difficult for Europe to cope. The German think tank Foreign Policy Institute said in a report that the Iranian nuclear deal may keep Europe and the United States apart. Only after formulating its own strategy can Europe have the ability to negotiate effectively with the United States on Iran.